The Warnings Continue To Go Out And The Situation Continues To Deteriorate- Will There be A Nuclear War Because Of The Ukraine Crisis?

According to wikipedia– During the Russian invasion of Ukraine, several senior Russian politicians, including president Vladimir Putin, former president and prime minister Dmitry Medvedev, and foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, have made a number of statements widely seen as threatening the use of nuclear weapons. The possibility of Russia using tactical nuclear weapons, and the risk of broader nuclear escalation, has been widely discussed by commentators and in the media.[1] Additionally, the Russian occupation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant has led to a crisis over the safety of the plant and the risk of a nuclear disaster.

This article is from the perspective of a man who went through a lot and had even more acquaintances who went through the war.

This is an advantage of having grown up during the Cold War, and having spent some time in your youth passing on intelligence information while looking out the first window that would see the contrails from the Soviet ICBMs.

No, this is not worrying. The risk is higher than at any other point since 1991, absolutely. It would be foolish to imagine otherwise. It’s still orders of magnitude lower than before the Perestroika started in earnest in 1987. No one intends for it to happen, and everyone knows that no one intends for it to happen.

We’re not at the stage where a single misjudgement can start it, as almost happened in 1983 when the Soviet defense systems falsely indicated that USA had launched a missile, in a situation where the Soviet leadership believed an attack might be imminent. We’re still at the stage where only a series of serious mistakes can start it. That’s why the NATO has not raised the alert level for their nuclear forces: not doing it sends a clear signal that NATO will not initiate a first strike; Putin has no reason to hold his finger poised over the button just in case.

And if I’m not afraid, who lived through the Cold War and was basically born with the trauma of nuclear threat, if my mother is not afraid—who went to bed for a couple of weeks in 1963, literally not knowing whether she would wake up in the morning—then I don’t think you need to be afraid, either.

And if you still can’t shake the feeling—you might find that it helps to be a little bit prepared. Have some bottled water at home, and some tinned food, so that you can stay inside your home for a few days. Have a charged power bank and maybe a radio or a smartphone wrapped in tin foil, to withstand the EMP. Find out where the nearest shelters are.

Because your biggest enemy right now is the sense of being totally powerless. If you have some small handle on how to manage, you’ll immediately feel safer.

Also- The difference between the 1980s and today: is that after Stalin’s death all important decisions in the Soviet Union were taken by a committee, the did not give a single person full authority. But Putin has changed the laws and rules to make himself sole, absolute ruler. And lately Putin has been acting differently from his usual self.

He used to be extremely analytical and ruthless, but he didn’t gamble. He would, step by step probe the boundaries and chisel at them in salami fashion. But he would act extremely rational.

This attack is not his style.

Add to this his change in appearance, his swollen face, and there are suggestions that he might have a terminal medical condition, like a cancer, and wants to get his goals done before he dies. He doesn’t seen to care if he lives or dies.

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